title 'surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression'.
data list records=1
  /1 case 1-2 x1 4-8 x2 10-12 x3 15-17 x4 19-23
      y 25-28 logy 30-36.
begin data.
01   6.7  62   81  2.59  200  2.3010
02   5.1  59   66  1.70  101  2.0043
03   7.4  57   83  2.16  204  2.3096
04   6.5  73   41  2.01  101  2.0043
05   7.8  65  115  4.30  509  2.7067
06   5.8  38   72  1.42   80  1.9031
07   5.7  46   63  1.91   80  1.9031
08   3.7  68   81  2.57  127  2.1038
09   6.0  67   93  2.50  202  2.3054
10   3.7  76   94  2.40  203  2.3075
11   6.3  84   83  4.13  329  2.5172
12   6.7  51   43  1.86   65  1.8129
13   5.8  96  114  3.95  830  2.9191
14   5.8  83   88  3.95  330  2.5185
15   7.7  62   67  3.40  168  2.2253
16   7.4  74   68  2.40  217  2.3365
17   6.0  85   28  2.98   87  1.9395
18   3.7  51   41  1.55   34  1.5315
19   7.3  68   74  3.56  215  2.3324
20   5.6  57   87  3.02  172  2.2355
21   5.2  52   76  2.85  109  2.0374
22   3.4  83   53  1.12  136  2.1335
23   6.7  26   68  2.10   70  1.8451
24   5.8  67   86  3.40  220  2.3424
25   6.3  59  100  2.95  276  2.4409
26   5.8  61   73  3.50  144  2.1584
27   5.2  52   86  2.45  181  2.2577
28  11.2  76   90  5.59  574  2.7589
29   5.2  54   56  2.71   72  1.8573
30   5.8  76   59  2.58  178  2.2504
31   3.2  64   65  0.74   71  1.8513
32   8.7  45   23  2.52   58  1.7634
33   5.0  59   73  3.50  116  2.0645
34   5.8  72   93  3.30  295  2.4698
35   5.4  58   70  2.64  115  2.0607
36   5.3  51   99  2.60  184  2.2648
37   2.6  74   86  2.05  118  2.0719
38   4.3   8  119  2.85  120  2.0792
39   4.8  61   76  2.45  151  2.1790
40   5.4  52   88  1.81  148  2.1703
41   5.2  49   72  1.84   95  1.9777
42   3.6  28   99  1.30   75  1.8751
43   8.8  86   88  6.40  483  2.6840
44   6.5  56   77  2.85  153  2.1847
45   3.4  77   93  1.48  191  2.2810
46   6.5  40   84  3.00  123  2.0899
47   4.5  73  106  3.05  311  2.4928
48   4.8  86  101  4.10  398  2.5999
49   5.1  67   77  2.86  158  2.1987
50   3.9  82  103  4.55  310  2.4914
51   6.6  77   46  1.95  124  2.0934
52   6.4  85   40  1.21  125  2.0969
53   6.4  59   85  2.33  198  2.2967
54   8.8  78   72  3.20  313  2.4955
end data.
frequencies gen=x1,x2,x3,x4,y,logy/format=notable/historgram.
variable labels x1 'blood clotting score'/
  x2 'prognostic index'/ x3 'enzyme function test'/
  x4 'liver function test'/y 'survival time'/
  logy 'log(survival time)'.
regression  descriptives=mean,stddev,corr,n/
   variables=x1,x2,x3,x4,y/
   statistics=r,anova,cha,coeff,outs,zpp,ci,tol,label,history/
   dependent=y/
   method=enter/
   residuals=default/
   casewise=default/
   scatterplot=(y,x1) (y,x2) (y,x3) (y,x4) (*resid,x1) (*resid,x2)
      (*resid,x3) (*resid,x4) (*resid,*pred)/
   dep=y/forward/
   dep=y/backward/
   dep=y/stepwise.
regression  descriptives=mean,stddev,corr,n/
   variables=x1,x2,x3,x4,logy/
   statistics=r,anova,cha,coeff,outs,zpp,ci,tol,label,history/
   dependent=logy/
   method=enter/
   residuals=default/
   casewise=default/
   scatterplot=(logy,x1) (logy,x2) (logy,x3) (logy,x4) (*resid,x1)
       (*resid,x2) (*resid,x3) (*resid,x4) (*resid,*pred)/
   dep=logy/forward/
   dep=logy/backward/
   dep=logy/stepwise/
     scatterplot=(*resid,x1) (*resid,x2) (*resid,x3) (*resid,*pred).
regression var=x1,x2,x3,x4/statistics=r/
  dep=x1/enter/
  dep=x2/enter/
  dep=x3/enter/
  dep=x4/enter.
  

10 Dec 97 SPSS for Unix, Release 5.0 (IBM RS/6000)                        Page 1
11:16:32  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


For IBM AIX 3.2.        sigma.oac.ucla.edu                      SPSS ID 265665

-> title 'surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression'.
-> data list records=1
->   /1 case 1-2 x1 4-8 x2 10-12 x3 15-17 x4 19-23
->       y 25-28 logy 30-36.

This command will read 1 records from the command file

Variable   Rec   Start     End         Format

CASE         1       1       2         F2.0
X1           1       4       8         F5.0
X2           1      10      12         F3.0
X3           1      15      17         F3.0
X4           1      19      23         F5.0
Y            1      25      28         F4.0
LOGY         1      30      36         F7.0

-> begin data.
-> 01   6.7  62   81  2.59  200  2.3010
-> 02   5.1  59   66  1.70  101  2.0043
-> 03   7.4  57   83  2.16  204  2.3096
-> 04   6.5  73   41  2.01  101  2.0043
-> 05   7.8  65  115  4.30  509  2.7067
-> 06   5.8  38   72  1.42   80  1.9031
-> 07   5.7  46   63  1.91   80  1.9031
-> 08   3.7  68   81  2.57  127  2.1038
-> 09   6.0  67   93  2.50  202  2.3054
-> 10   3.7  76   94  2.40  203  2.3075
-> 11   6.3  84   83  4.13  329  2.5172
-> 12   6.7  51   43  1.86   65  1.8129
-> 13   5.8  96  114  3.95  830  2.9191
-> 14   5.8  83   88  3.95  330  2.5185
-> 15   7.7  62   67  3.40  168  2.2253
-> 16   7.4  74   68  2.40  217  2.3365
-> 17   6.0  85   28  2.98   87  1.9395
-> 18   3.7  51   41  1.55   34  1.5315
-> 19   7.3  68   74  3.56  215  2.3324
-> 20   5.6  57   87  3.02  172  2.2355
-> 21   5.2  52   76  2.85  109  2.0374
-> 22   3.4  83   53  1.12  136  2.1335
-> 23   6.7  26   68  2.10   70  1.8451
-> 24   5.8  67   86  3.40  220  2.3424
-> 25   6.3  59  100  2.95  276  2.4409
-> 26   5.8  61   73  3.50  144  2.1584
-> 27   5.2  52   86  2.45  181  2.2577
-> 28  11.2  76   90  5.59  574  2.7589
-> 29   5.2  54   56  2.71   72  1.8573
-> 30   5.8  76   59  2.58  178  2.2504
-> 31   3.2  64   65  0.74   71  1.8513
-> 32   8.7  45   23  2.52   58  1.7634
-> 33   5.0  59   73  3.50  116  2.0645
-> 34   5.8  72   93  3.30  295  2.4698
-> 35   5.4  58   70  2.64  115  2.0607
-> 36   5.3  51   99  2.60  184  2.2648
-> 37   2.6  74   86  2.05  118  2.0719
-> 38   4.3   8  119  2.85  120  2.0792
-> 39   4.8  61   76  2.45  151  2.1790
-> 40   5.4  52   88  1.81  148  2.1703
-> 41   5.2  49   72  1.84   95  1.9777
-> 42   3.6  28   99  1.30   75  1.8751
-> 43   8.8  86   88  6.40  483  2.6840
-> 44   6.5  56   77  2.85  153  2.1847
-> 45   3.4  77   93  1.48  191  2.2810
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                        Page 2
11:16:44  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.

-> 46   6.5  40   84  3.00  123  2.0899
-> 47   4.5  73  106  3.05  311  2.4928
-> 48   4.8  86  101  4.10  398  2.5999
-> 49   5.1  67   77  2.86  158  2.1987
-> 50   3.9  82  103  4.55  310  2.4914
-> 51   6.6  77   46  1.95  124  2.0934
-> 52   6.4  85   40  1.21  125  2.0969
-> 53   6.4  59   85  2.33  198  2.2967
-> 54   8.8  78   72  3.20  313  2.4955
-> end data.

Preceding task required .05 seconds CPU time;  .25 seconds elapsed.

-> frequencies gen=x1,x2,x3,x4,y,logy/format=notable/historgram.

There are 523,688 bytes of memory available.
The largest contiguous area has 523,688 bytes.

Memory allows a total of 18,703 values accumulated across all variables.
There may be up to 2,337 value labels for each variable.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                        Page 3
11:16:44  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


X1

    Count   Midpoint    One symbol equals approximately   .40 occurrences

        4          3 |**********
        6          4 |***************
       13          5 |*********************************
       15          6 |**************************************
       10          7 |*************************
        2          8 |*****
        3          9 |********
        0         10 |
        1         11 |***
                     +----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
                     0         4         8        12        16        20
                               Histogram frequency

Valid cases      54      Missing cases      0

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

X2

    Count   Midpoint    One symbol equals approximately   .40 occurrences

        1         10 |***
        0         20 |
        2         30 |*****
        2         40 |*****
       10         50 |*************************
       13         60 |*********************************
       11         70 |****************************
       10         80 |*************************
        4         90 |**********
        1         96 |***
                     +----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
                     0         4         8        12        16        20
                               Histogram frequency

Valid cases      54      Missing cases      0

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

X3

    Count   Midpoint    One symbol equals approximately   .40 occurrences

        1         20 |***
        1         30 |***
        4         40 |**********
        2         50 |*****
        3         60 |********
       12         70 |******************************
        9         80 |***********************
       13         90 |*********************************
        5        100 |*************
        2        110 |*****
        2        119 |*****
                     +----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
                     0         4         8        12        16        20
                               Histogram frequency
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                        Page 4
11:16:44  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


X3


Valid cases      54      Missing cases      0

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

X4

    Count   Midpoint    One symbol equals approximately   .50 occurrences

        6          1 |************
       16          2 |********************************
       21          3 |******************************************
        8          4 |****************
        1          5 |**
        2          6 |****
                     +----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
                     0         5        10        15        20        25
                               Histogram frequency

Valid cases      54      Missing cases      0

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Y

    Count   Midpoint    One symbol equals approximately   .50 occurrences

        1          0 |**
       24        100 |************************************************
       17        200 |**********************************
        7        300 |**************
        1        400 |**
        2        500 |****
        1        600 |**
        0        700 |
        1        800 |**
                     +----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
                     0         5        10        15        20        25
                               Histogram frequency

Valid cases      54      Missing cases      0

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

LOGY

    Count   Midpoint    One symbol equals approximately   .40 occurrences

        1          2 |***
        5          2 |*************
       16          2 |****************************************
       20          2 |**************************************************
        8          3 |********************
        3          3 |********
        1          3 |***
                     +----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
                     0         4         8        12        16        20
                               Histogram frequency

Valid cases      54      Missing cases      0
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                        Page 5
11:16:44  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


Preceding task required .03 seconds CPU time;  .09 seconds elapsed.

-> variable labels x1 'blood clotting score'/
->   x2 'prognostic index'/ x3 'enzyme function test'/
->   x4 'liver function test'/y 'survival time'/
->   logy 'log(survival time)'.
-> regression  descriptives=mean,stddev,corr,n/
->    variables=x1,x2,x3,x4,y/
->    statistics=r,anova,cha,coeff,outs,zpp,ci,tol,label,history/
->    dependent=y/
->    method=enter/
->    residuals=default/
->    casewise=default/
->    scatterplot=(y,x1) (y,x2) (y,x3) (y,x4) (*resid,x1) (*resid,x2)
->       (*resid,x3) (*resid,x4) (*resid,*pred)/
->    dep=y/forward/
->    dep=y/backward/
->    dep=y/stepwise.

There are 522,072 bytes of memory available.
The largest contiguous area has 518,792 bytes.

     2576 bytes of memory required for REGRESSION procedure.
    87496 more bytes may be needed for Residuals plots.


10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                        Page 6
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *


Listwise Deletion of Missing Data

             Mean  Std Dev  Label

X1          5.783    1.603  blood clotting score
X2         63.241   16.903  prognostic index
X3         77.111   21.254  enzyme function test
X4          2.744    1.070  liver function test
Y         197.167  145.299  survival time

N of Cases =    54

Correlation:

                 X1         X2         X3         X4          Y

X1            1.000       .090      -.150       .502       .373
X2             .090      1.000      -.024       .369       .554
X3            -.150      -.024      1.000       .416       .580
X4             .502       .369       .416      1.000       .722
Y              .373       .554       .580       .722      1.000

10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                        Page 7
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 1    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time

  Descriptive Statistics are printed on Page    6

Block Number  1.  Method:  Enter


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   1..    X4        liver function test
   2..    X2        prognostic index
   3..    X3        enzyme function test
   4..    X1        blood clotting score


Multiple R           .91474
R Square             .83675          R Square Change    .83675
Adjusted R Square    .82342          F Change         62.78771
Standard Error     61.05651          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           4        936264.53767     234066.13442
Residual            49        182666.96233       3727.89719

F =      62.78771       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4            14.091563   12.525328   -11.079026    39.262151    .103806
X2             4.271860     .563385     3.139696     5.404023    .496941
X3             4.125738     .511161     3.098522     5.152955    .603496
X1            33.163828    7.017275    19.062087    47.265570    .365884
(Constant)  -621.597550   64.800426  -751.818883  -491.376218


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .722327  .064938  .158684    .391339      2.555     1.125  .2661
X2          .553976  .437665  .734766    .775666      1.289     7.582  .0000
X3          .580244  .465880  .755464    .595937      1.678     8.071  .0000
X1          .372519  .272789  .559556    .555861      1.799     4.726  .0000
(Constant)                                                     -9.592  .0000


End Block Number   1   All requested variables entered.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                        Page 8
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 1    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time


                       Summary table
                       -------------

Step   MultR     Rsq    F(Eqn)  SigF       Variable  BetaIn
   1                                  In:  X4         .7223
   2                                  In:  X2         .3327
   3                                  In:  X3         .4283
   4   .9147   .8367    62.788  .000  In:  X1         .3659
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                        Page 9
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 1    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time


Casewise Plot of Standardized Residual

Outliers = 3.    *: Selected   M: Missing

          -6.     -3.  3.     6.
  Case #   O:.......:  :.......:O      Y       *PRED      *RESID
      13   .         ..      *  .    830    506.8470    323.1530


       1 Outliers found.




           * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *


Residuals Statistics:

              Min      Max     Mean  Std Dev   N

*PRED    -90.0293 524.5870 197.1667 132.9111  54
*RESID   -80.5226 323.1530    .0000  58.7073  54
*ZPRED    -2.1608   2.4635    .0000   1.0000  54
*ZRESID   -1.3188   5.2927    .0000    .9615  54

Total Cases =       54


Durbin-Watson Test =   1.71972
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 10
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.




Outliers - Standardized Residual

  Case #       *ZRESID

      13       5.29269
      18       2.03139
       9      -1.31882
      32       1.12086
       5        .96951
      22        .91439
      15       -.90007
      19       -.84275
      28        .80930
      23        .78925



           * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *


Histogram - Standardized Residual

 N Exp N      (* = 1 Cases,    . : = Normal Curve)
 1   .04   Out *
 0   .08  3.00
 0   .21  2.67
 0   .48  2.33
 1   .99  2.00 :
 0  1.81  1.67  .
 0  2.96  1.33   .
 3  4.36  1.00 ***.
 6  5.74   .67 *****:
 6  6.77   .33 ******.
 6  7.15   .00 ******.
11  6.77  -.33 ******:****
17  5.74  -.67 *****:***********
 2  4.36 -1.00 ** .
 1  2.96 -1.33 * .
 0  1.81 -1.67  .
 0   .99 -2.00 .
 0   .48 -2.33
 0   .21 -2.67
 0   .08 -3.00
 0   .04   Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 11
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.



Normal Probability (P-P) Plot
Standardized Residual
  1.0  +---------+---------+---------+--------**
       |                                     . |
       |                                   .   |
       |                                 .  ** |
       |                               .  ***  |
   .75 +                             .   *     +
       |                           .  ****     |
 E     |                         .   *         |
 x     |                       .   **          |
 p     |                     .   **            |
 e .5  +                   .    **             +
 c     |                 .   ***               |
 t     |               .*****                  |
 e     |             . **                      |
 d     |        *******                        |
   .25 +  ****** .                             +
       |***    .                               |
       |     .                                 |
       |   .                                   |
       | .                                     |
       +---------+---------+---------+---------+ Observed
               .25        .5       .75       1.0
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 12
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.



Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X1         Down - Y
Out ++-----+-----+---- . ----+-----+-----++
  3 +                                         Symbols:
    |                                     .
    |                                            Max N
  2 +                          .  .       +
    |                                     |   .      1.0
    |              .                      |   :      2.0
  1 +                  . .                +   *      3.0
    |           . .    . .        .       |
    |                                     |
  0 +         ..     : :...  *            +
    |         ..   .. :. ..   .           |
    |      .     .  ::.:. *               |
 -1 +        . :     .    :       .       +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -2 +                                     +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out


Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X2         Down - Y
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+---- . ----++
  3 +                                     +   Symbols:
    |                       .             |
    |                                     |      Max N
  2 +                   .      .          +
    |                                     |   .      1.0
    |                          .          |   :      2.0
  1 +                         :           +   *      3.0
    |                .    : . .           |
    |                                     |
  0 +              : : .:. .*             +
                   ...:...    ..          |
    .         .. ... *    ...  .          |
 -1       :      . :.  .                  +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -2 +                                     +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 13
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.



Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X3         Down - Y
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-- . +-----++
  3 +                                     +   Symbols:
    |                      .              |
    |                                     |      Max N
  2 +                     .       .       +
    |                                     |   .      1.0
    |                         .           |   :      2.0
  1 +                    ..               +   *      3.0
    |                 .    . ...          |
    |                                     |
  0 +             . . . .:::..            +
    |        .  .   . .*. :               |
    |    .   ..    ...*. ..        .      |
 -1 +   .    :   .  :        .            +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -2 +                                     +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out


Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X4         Down - Y
Out ++-----+-----+-----+----- . ---+-----++
  3 +                                     +   Symbols:
    |                                  .  |
    |                                            Max N
  2 +                           .         .
    |                                         .      1.0
    |                          .          |   :      2.0
  1 +                         ..          +   *      4.0
    |                   ..:      .        |
    |                                     |
  0 +           .   .**    ..             +
    |         :   .  .. :. :              |
    |           ..:*  . *  .              |
 -1 +       .  .. ..  ..                  +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -2 +                                     +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 14
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.



Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X1         Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+---- . ----+-----+-----++
  3 +                                     +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
    |                                     |      Max N
  2 +          .                          +
    |                                     |   .      1.0
    |                                     |   :      2.0
  1 +         .                .  .           *      4.0
    |        . . .        :               .
    |              . * :
  0 +             ...  .  .       .       +
    |                .::.*.               |
    |      .  .:.   :..:  *  :    .       |
 -1 +                        ..           +
    |                   .                 |
    |                                     |
 -2 +                                     +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out


Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X2         Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+---- . ----++
  3 +                                     +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
    |                                     |      Max N
  2 +              .                      +
    |                                     |   .      1.0
    |                                     |   :      2.0
  1              .      .     .           +   *      3.0
    .     :        .   .    .             |
              .  ....          .          |
  0 +                ..   : .  .          +
    |              : *    . . ::          |
    |          .   ..*..:. :* .           |
 -1 +                  . .                +
    |                   .                 |
    |                                     |
 -2 +                                     +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 15
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.



Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X3         Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-- . +-----++
  3 +                                     +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
    |                                     |      Max N
  2 +        .                            +
    |                                     |   .      1.0
    |                                     |   :      2.0
  1 +   .       .                 .       +   *      3.0
    |        .      :      . .     .      |
    |            . .  :   .   .           |
  0 +        .    . .  .  .    .          +
    |    .   ..      . . ::. .            |
    |               . *:::*....           |
 -1 +               . .                   +
    |                      .              |
    |                                     |
 -2 +                                     +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out


Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X4         Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+----- . ---+-----++
  3 +                                     +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
    |                                     |      Max N
  2 +           .                         +
    |                                     |   .      1.0
    |                                     |   :      2.0
  1 +         .       .         .         +   *      3.0
    |       .  .  ..    .              .  |
    |           . :  . .       .
  0 +            . . ..  .                .
    |         .   .. .. * .   ..
    |           .  ..:* *..*     .        |
 -1 +                      ..             +
    |                 .                   |
    |                                     |
 -2 +                                     +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 16
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.



Standardized Scatterplot
Across - *PRED      Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+ . --++
  3 +                                     +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
    |                                     |      Max N
  2 +     .                               +
    |                                     |   .      1.0
    |                                     |   :      2.0
  1 +         .   .               .       +   *      3.0
    |          :: .                   .   |
    |           * .  .         .          |
  0 +             .. ..      .      .     +
    |              .*.. .  .. :           |
    |                *::**:   :           |
 -1 +                   . .               +
    |                      .              |
    |                                     |
 -2 +                                     +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 17
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 2    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time

  Descriptive Statistics are printed on Page    6

Block Number  1.  Method:  Forward      Criterion   PIN  .0500


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   1..    X4        liver function test


Multiple R           .72233
R Square             .52176          R Square Change    .52176
Adjusted R Square    .51256          F Change         56.73104
Standard Error    101.44368          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           1        583808.87324     583808.87324
Residual            52        535122.62676      10290.81975

F =      56.73104       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4            98.054840   13.018432    71.931445   124.178235    .722327
(Constant)   -71.921235   38.300318  -148.776447     4.933977


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .722327  .722327  .722327   1.000000      1.000     7.532  .0000
(Constant)                                                     -1.878  .0660


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X1           .012855  .016073    .747578      1.338    .747578      .115  .9091
X2           .332730  .447176    .863820      1.158    .863820     3.570  .0008
X3           .338075  .444460    .826591      1.210    .826591     3.543  .0009
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 18
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 2    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   2..    X2        prognostic index


Multiple R           .78574
R Square             .61739          R Square Change    .09563
Adjusted R Square    .60238          F Change         12.74735
Standard Error     91.62112          Signif F Change    .0008

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           2        690815.58520     345407.79260
Residual            51        428115.91480       8394.42970

F =      41.14726       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4            81.386817   12.650790    55.989297   106.784337    .599541
X2             2.860251     .801114     1.251948     4.468554    .332730
(Constant)  -207.064232   51.277006  -310.007117  -104.121346


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .722327  .557225  .669313    .863820      1.158     6.433  .0000
X2          .553976  .309246  .447176    .863820      1.158     3.570  .0008
(Constant)                                                     -4.038  .0002


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X1           .056052  .077798    .737068      1.357    .641907      .552  .5836
X3           .428285  .615495    .790209      1.265    .682979     5.522  .0000
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 19
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 2    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   3..    X3        enzyme function test


Multiple R           .87312
R Square             .76234          R Square Change    .14495
Adjusted R Square    .74808          F Change         30.49386
Standard Error     72.92884          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           3        853000.72546     284333.57515
Residual            50        265930.77454       5318.61549

F =      53.46007       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4            52.773231   11.324767    30.026766    75.519695    .388757
X2             3.615818     .652187     2.305862     4.925774    .420625
X3             2.927928     .530218     1.862954     3.992901    .428285
(Constant)  -402.099531   53.975348  -510.512209  -293.686854


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .722327  .321279  .550273    .682979      1.464     4.660  .0000
X2          .553976  .382236  .617016    .825800      1.211     5.544  .0000
X3          .580244  .380718  .615495    .790209      1.265     5.522  .0000
(Constant)                                                     -7.450  .0000


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X1           .365884  .559556    .555861      1.799    .391339     4.726  .0000
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 20
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 2    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   4..    X1        blood clotting score


Multiple R           .91474
R Square             .83675          R Square Change    .07441
Adjusted R Square    .82342          F Change         22.33533
Standard Error     61.05651          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           4        936264.53767     234066.13442
Residual            49        182666.96233       3727.89719

F =      62.78771       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4            14.091563   12.525328   -11.079026    39.262151    .103806
X2             4.271860     .563385     3.139696     5.404023    .496941
X3             4.125738     .511161     3.098522     5.152955    .603496
X1            33.163828    7.017275    19.062087    47.265570    .365884
(Constant)  -621.597550   64.800426  -751.818883  -491.376218


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .722327  .064938  .158684    .391339      2.555     1.125  .2661
X2          .553976  .437665  .734766    .775666      1.289     7.582  .0000
X3          .580244  .465880  .755464    .595937      1.678     8.071  .0000
X1          .372519  .272789  .559556    .555861      1.799     4.726  .0000
(Constant)                                                     -9.592  .0000


End Block Number   1   All requested variables entered.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 21
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 2    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time


                       Summary table
                       -------------

Step   MultR     Rsq    F(Eqn)  SigF       Variable  BetaIn
   1   .7223   .5218    56.731  .000  In:  X4         .7223
   2   .7857   .6174    41.147  .000  In:  X2         .3327
   3   .8731   .7623    53.460  .000  In:  X3         .4283
   4   .9147   .8367    62.788  .000  In:  X1         .3659
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 22
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 3    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time

  Descriptive Statistics are printed on Page    6

Block Number  1.  Method:  Enter


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   1..    X4        liver function test
   2..    X2        prognostic index
   3..    X3        enzyme function test
   4..    X1        blood clotting score


Multiple R           .91474
R Square             .83675          R Square Change    .83675
Adjusted R Square    .82342          F Change         62.78771
Standard Error     61.05651          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           4        936264.53767     234066.13442
Residual            49        182666.96233       3727.89719

F =      62.78771       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4            14.091563   12.525328   -11.079026    39.262151    .103806
X2             4.271860     .563385     3.139696     5.404023    .496941
X3             4.125738     .511161     3.098522     5.152955    .603496
X1            33.163828    7.017275    19.062087    47.265570    .365884
(Constant)  -621.597550   64.800426  -751.818883  -491.376218


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .722327  .064938  .158684    .391339      2.555     1.125  .2661
X2          .553976  .437665  .734766    .775666      1.289     7.582  .0000
X3          .580244  .465880  .755464    .595937      1.678     8.071  .0000
X1          .372519  .272789  .559556    .555861      1.799     4.726  .0000
(Constant)                                                     -9.592  .0000


End Block Number   1   All requested variables entered.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 23
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 3    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time

Block Number  2.  Method:  Backward     Criterion   POUT  .1000


Variable(s) Removed on Step Number
   5..    X4        liver function test


Multiple R           .91243
R Square             .83253          R Square Change   -.00422
Adjusted R Square    .82248          F Change          1.26573
Standard Error     61.21854          Signif F Change    .2661

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           3        931546.03667     310515.34556
Residual            50        187385.46333       3747.70927

F =      82.85470       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X2             4.567732     .499559     3.564338     5.571126    .531360
X3             4.485036     .400174     3.681263     5.288810    .656052
X1            38.322744    5.325891    27.625376    49.020112    .422800
(Constant)  -659.179420   55.674081  -771.004104  -547.354736


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X2          .553976  .529170  .791050    .991774      1.008     9.144  .0000
X3          .580244  .648632  .845744    .977506      1.023    11.208  .0000
X1          .372519  .416433  .713250    .970108      1.031     7.196  .0000
(Constant)                                                    -11.840  .0000


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X4           .103806  .158684    .391339      2.555    .391339     1.125  .2661


End Block Number   2   POUT =     .100 Limits reached.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 24
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 3    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time


                       Summary table
                       -------------

Step   MultR     Rsq    F(Eqn)  SigF       Variable  BetaIn
   1                                  In:  X4         .7223
   2                                  In:  X2         .3327
   3                                  In:  X3         .4283
   4   .9147   .8367    62.788  .000  In:  X1         .3659
   5   .9124   .8325    82.855  .000 Out:  X4
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 25
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time

  Descriptive Statistics are printed on Page    6

Block Number  1.  Method:  Stepwise     Criteria   PIN  .0500   POUT  .1000


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   1..    X4        liver function test


Multiple R           .72233
R Square             .52176          R Square Change    .52176
Adjusted R Square    .51256          F Change         56.73104
Standard Error    101.44368          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           1        583808.87324     583808.87324
Residual            52        535122.62676      10290.81975

F =      56.73104       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4            98.054840   13.018432    71.931445   124.178235    .722327
(Constant)   -71.921235   38.300318  -148.776447     4.933977


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .722327  .722327  .722327   1.000000      1.000     7.532  .0000
(Constant)                                                     -1.878  .0660


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X1           .012855  .016073    .747578      1.338    .747578      .115  .9091
X2           .332730  .447176    .863820      1.158    .863820     3.570  .0008
X3           .338075  .444460    .826591      1.210    .826591     3.543  .0009
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 26
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   2..    X2        prognostic index


Multiple R           .78574
R Square             .61739          R Square Change    .09563
Adjusted R Square    .60238          F Change         12.74735
Standard Error     91.62112          Signif F Change    .0008

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           2        690815.58520     345407.79260
Residual            51        428115.91480       8394.42970

F =      41.14726       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4            81.386817   12.650790    55.989297   106.784337    .599541
X2             2.860251     .801114     1.251948     4.468554    .332730
(Constant)  -207.064232   51.277006  -310.007117  -104.121346


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .722327  .557225  .669313    .863820      1.158     6.433  .0000
X2          .553976  .309246  .447176    .863820      1.158     3.570  .0008
(Constant)                                                     -4.038  .0002


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X1           .056052  .077798    .737068      1.357    .641907      .552  .5836
X3           .428285  .615495    .790209      1.265    .682979     5.522  .0000
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 27
11:16:45  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   3..    X3        enzyme function test


Multiple R           .87312
R Square             .76234          R Square Change    .14495
Adjusted R Square    .74808          F Change         30.49386
Standard Error     72.92884          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           3        853000.72546     284333.57515
Residual            50        265930.77454       5318.61549

F =      53.46007       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4            52.773231   11.324767    30.026766    75.519695    .388757
X2             3.615818     .652187     2.305862     4.925774    .420625
X3             2.927928     .530218     1.862954     3.992901    .428285
(Constant)  -402.099531   53.975348  -510.512209  -293.686854


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .722327  .321279  .550273    .682979      1.464     4.660  .0000
X2          .553976  .382236  .617016    .825800      1.211     5.544  .0000
X3          .580244  .380718  .615495    .790209      1.265     5.522  .0000
(Constant)                                                     -7.450  .0000


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X1           .365884  .559556    .555861      1.799    .391339     4.726  .0000
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 28
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   4..    X1        blood clotting score


Multiple R           .91474
R Square             .83675          R Square Change    .07441
Adjusted R Square    .82342          F Change         22.33533
Standard Error     61.05651          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           4        936264.53767     234066.13442
Residual            49        182666.96233       3727.89719

F =      62.78771       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4            14.091563   12.525328   -11.079026    39.262151    .103806
X2             4.271860     .563385     3.139696     5.404023    .496941
X3             4.125738     .511161     3.098522     5.152955    .603496
X1            33.163828    7.017275    19.062087    47.265570    .365884
(Constant)  -621.597550   64.800426  -751.818883  -491.376218


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .722327  .064938  .158684    .391339      2.555     1.125  .2661
X2          .553976  .437665  .734766    .775666      1.289     7.582  .0000
X3          .580244  .465880  .755464    .595937      1.678     8.071  .0000
X1          .372519  .272789  .559556    .555861      1.799     4.726  .0000
(Constant)                                                     -9.592  .0000
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 29
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time


Variable(s) Removed on Step Number
   5..    X4        liver function test


Multiple R           .91243
R Square             .83253          R Square Change   -.00422
Adjusted R Square    .82248          F Change          1.26573
Standard Error     61.21854          Signif F Change    .2661

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           3        931546.03667     310515.34556
Residual            50        187385.46333       3747.70927

F =      82.85470       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X2             4.567732     .499559     3.564338     5.571126    .531360
X3             4.485036     .400174     3.681263     5.288810    .656052
X1            38.322744    5.325891    27.625376    49.020112    .422800
(Constant)  -659.179420   55.674081  -771.004104  -547.354736


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X2          .553976  .529170  .791050    .991774      1.008     9.144  .0000
X3          .580244  .648632  .845744    .977506      1.023    11.208  .0000
X1          .372519  .416433  .713250    .970108      1.031     7.196  .0000
(Constant)                                                    -11.840  .0000


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X4           .103806  .158684    .391339      2.555    .391339     1.125  .2661


End Block Number   1   PIN =     .050 Limits reached.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 30
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   Y   survival time


                       Summary table
                       -------------

Step   MultR     Rsq    F(Eqn)  SigF       Variable  BetaIn
   1   .7223   .5218    56.731  .000  In:  X4         .7223
   2   .7857   .6174    41.147  .000  In:  X2         .3327
   3   .8731   .7623    53.460  .000  In:  X3         .4283
   4   .9147   .8367    62.788  .000  In:  X1         .3659
   5   .9124   .8325    82.855  .000 Out:  X4
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 31
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Preceding task required .06 seconds CPU time;  1.82 seconds elapsed.

-> regression  descriptives=mean,stddev,corr,n/
->    variables=x1,x2,x3,x4,logy/
->    statistics=r,anova,cha,coeff,outs,zpp,ci,tol,label,history/
->    dependent=logy/
->    method=enter/
->    residuals=default/
->    casewise=default/
->    scatterplot=(logy,x1) (logy,x2) (logy,x3) (logy,x4) (*resid,x1)
->        (*resid,x2) (*resid,x3) (*resid,x4) (*resid,*pred)/
->    dep=logy/forward/
->    dep=logy/backward/
->    dep=logy/stepwise/
->      scatterplot=(*resid,x1) (*resid,x2) (*resid,x3) (*resid,*pred).

There are 521,904 bytes of memory available.
The largest contiguous area has 518,792 bytes.

     2576 bytes of memory required for REGRESSION procedure.
    87496 more bytes may be needed for Residuals plots.


10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 32
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *


Listwise Deletion of Missing Data

            Mean  Std Dev  Label

X1         5.783    1.603  blood clotting score
X2        63.241   16.903  prognostic index
X3        77.111   21.254  enzyme function test
X4         2.744    1.070  liver function test
LOGY       2.206     .274  log(survival time)

N of Cases =    54

Correlation:

                 X1         X2         X3         X4       LOGY

X1            1.000       .090      -.150       .502       .346
X2             .090      1.000      -.024       .369       .593
X3            -.150      -.024      1.000       .416       .665
X4             .502       .369       .416      1.000       .726
LOGY           .346       .593       .665       .726      1.000

10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 33
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 1    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)

  Descriptive Statistics are printed on Page   32

Block Number  1.  Method:  Enter


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   1..    X4        liver function test
   2..    X2        prognostic index
   3..    X3        enzyme function test
   4..    X1        blood clotting score


Multiple R           .98609
R Square             .97237          R Square Change    .97237
Adjusted R Square    .97011          F Change        431.09721
Standard Error       .04733          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           4             3.86300           .96575
Residual            49              .10977           .00224

F =     431.09721       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4              .001925     .009710     -.017587      .021438    .007527
X2              .009254  4.3673E-04      .008376      .010132    .571318
X3              .009475  3.9625E-04      .008678      .010271    .735505
X1              .068520     .005440      .057589      .079452    .401192
(Constant)      .488756     .050233      .387809      .589703


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .726206  .004709  .028317    .391339      2.555      .198  .8436
X2          .592889  .503170  .949528    .775666      1.289    21.189  .0000
X3          .665122  .567788  .959718    .595937      1.678    23.910  .0000
X1          .346404  .299113  .874094    .555861      1.799    12.596  .0000
(Constant)                                                      9.730  .0000


End Block Number   1   All requested variables entered.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 34
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 1    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)


                       Summary table
                       -------------

Step   MultR     Rsq    F(Eqn)  SigF       Variable  BetaIn
   1                                  In:  X4         .7262
   2                                  In:  X2         .3761
   3                                  In:  X3         .5434
   4   .9861   .9724   431.097  .000  In:  X1         .4012

>Note # 12650
>No outliers found.  No casewise plot produced.





           * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *


Residuals Statistics:

              Min      Max     Mean  Std Dev   N

*PRED      1.6057   2.8623   2.2061    .2700  54
*RESID     -.1004    .1394    .0000    .0455  54
*ZPRED    -2.2241   2.4303    .0000   1.0000  54
*ZRESID   -2.1223   2.9447    .0000    .9615  54

Total Cases =       54


Durbin-Watson Test =   2.14568
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 35
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Outliers - Standardized Residual

  Case #       *ZRESID

      22       2.94473
      27       2.36414
       9      -2.12227
      37      -2.08259
      30       2.04832
      38       1.87649
      18      -1.56729
      39       1.52255
      31      -1.39980
      28      -1.35359



           * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *


Histogram - Standardized Residual

 N Exp N      (* = 1 Cases,    . : = Normal Curve)
 0   .04   Out
 1   .08  3.00 *
 0   .21  2.67
 1   .48  2.33 *
 2   .99  2.00 :*
 1  1.81  1.67 *.
 1  2.96  1.33 * .
 0  4.36  1.00    .
 3  5.74   .67 ***  .
 8  6.77   .33 ******:*
17  7.15   .00 ******:**********
10  6.77  -.33 ******:***
 2  5.74  -.67 **   .
 2  4.36 -1.00 ** .
 3  2.96 -1.33 **:
 1  1.81 -1.67 *.
 2   .99 -2.00 :*
 0   .48 -2.33
 0   .21 -2.67
 0   .08 -3.00
 0   .04   Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 36
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Normal Probability (P-P) Plot
Standardized Residual
  1.0  +---------+---------+---------+-------***
       |                                    *. |
       |                                   *   |
       |                                 .     |
       |                               .  *    |
   .75 +                             .   *     +
       |                           .   ***     |
 E     |                         .    *        |
 x     |                       .   ****        |
 p     |                     . *****           |
 e .5  +                   ****                +
 c     |             ******                    |
 t     |           **  .                       |
 e     |        **** .                         |
 d     |       *   .                           |
   .25 +      *  .                             +
       |     * .                               |
       |    *.                                 |
       |  **                                   |
       | *                                     |
       **--------+---------+---------+---------+ Observed
               .25        .5       .75       1.0
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 37
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Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X1         Down - LOGY
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +                                     +   Symbols:
    |                  .                  |
    |                                            Max N
  2 +                                     .
    |                          .  .           .      1.0
    |              .                      |   :      2.0
  1 +           . .    : :        .       +   *      3.0
    |                                     |
    |         ..     : ....  *            |
  0 +              .. :.  .   .           +
    |      .  .. .     . .:               |
    |               :..   .               |
 -1 +                . :.                 +
    |        . .     .    :               |
    |                             .       |
 -2 +                                     +
    |          .                          |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out


Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X2         Down - LOGY
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +                                     +   Symbols:
    |                              .      |
    |                                     |      Max N
  2 +                       .             +
    |                   .      .          |   .      1.0
    |                          .          |   :      2.0
  1 +                .    : . *           +   *      3.0
    |                                     |
    |              : : .:. .:             |
  0                ......   .             +
    .          .      .  . .. ..          |
                   . *    .               |
 -1 +         .  ..            .          +
    |     :        ..  .                  |
    |            .                        |
 -2 +                                     +
    |              .                      |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 38
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Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X3         Down - LOGY
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +                                     +   Symbols:
    |                            .        |
    |                                     |      Max N
  2 +                      .              +
    |                     .       .       |   .      1.0
    |                         .           |   :      2.0
  1 +                 .  ... ...          +   *      3.0
    |                                     |
    |               . . .:::..            |
  0 +             . .  *  :               +
    |        .. .     . ...        .      |
    |        .      ....                  |
 -1 +    .         .  :                   +
    |        .   .  :        .            |
    |   .                                 |
 -2 +                                     +
    |        .                            |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out


Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X4         Down - LOGY
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +                                     +   Symbols:
    |                         .           |
    |                                     |      Max N
  2 +                                  .
    |                           .         .   .      1.0
    |                          .              :      2.0
  1 +                   ..:   .. .        +   *      4.0
    |                                     |
    |           .   .**    ..             |
  0 +             .  .. :. .              +
    |         :    :  . :  .              |
    |            . .  . .  .              |
 -1 +           . :     .                 +
    |       .  .  ..   .                  |
    |                 .                   |
 -2 +                                     +
    |           .                         |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 39
11:16:50  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.



Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X1         Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +         .                           +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
    |                .                    |      Max N
  2 +            .     .                  +
    |              .                      |   .      1.0
    |                  .                  |   :      2.0
  1 +                                     +   *      4.0
    |                  . .        .       |
    |             ..   * :.               |
  0 +               .:*. .*  *.   .       +
    |           .   :: .. :    .          |
    |         ..                          |
 -1 +          .                  .
    |        . .                          .
    |          .
 -2 +      .            .                 +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out


Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X2         Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +                         .           +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
                   .                      |      Max N
  2 .                       .             +
                      .                   |   .      1.0
    |                              .      |   :      2.0
  1 +                                     +   *      3.0
    |            .        .   .           |
    |     .          :. . .   ..          |
  0 +            ..:.* :....:  .          +
    |         ..   :.:  .     ..          |
    |                       :             |
 -1 +                    .     .          +
    |     .            .    .             |
    |              .                      |
 -2 +                   .  .              +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 40
11:16:50  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.



Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X3         Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +           .                         +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
    |                     .               |      Max N
  2 +             .                .      +
    |                  .                  |   .      1.0
    |                            .        |   :      2.0
  1 +                                     +   *      3.0
    |   .                . .              |
    |               . .  .:  ...          |
  0 +        :.    .:.*:..:  .            +
    |    .   .   .  . :. .    .   .       |
    |                      ..             |
 -1 +                   . .               +
    |               .      . .            |
    |        .                            |
 -2 +                     ..              +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out


Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X4         Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +         .                           +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
    |                .                    |      Max N
  2 +                 . .                 +
    |                .                    |   .      1.0
    |                         .           |   :      2.0
  1 +                                     +   *      3.0
    |                 .   .    .          |
    |              . .  .. :  ..          |
  0 +         .   *:..* :....             +
    |           ...    .*  .    ..        |
    |           .    .
 -1 +                 .                   .
    |       .  .                       .
    |           .                         |
 -2 +              .  .                   +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 41
11:16:50  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.



Standardized Scatterplot
Across - *PRED      Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +             .                       +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
    |                 .                   |      Max N
  2 +             .   .                   +
    |                .                    |   .      1.0
    |                                 .   |   :      2.0
  1 +                                     +   *      3.0
    |       .               ..            |
    |          .      .  .. .: .          |
  0 +           . : :..:*::   .           +
    |          ..: .:.        .   .       |
    |                    ..               |
 -1 +                 .            .      +
    |            :                   .    |
    |     .                               |
 -2 +                 .    .              +
    |                                     |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 42
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 2    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)

  Descriptive Statistics are printed on Page   32

Block Number  1.  Method:  Forward      Criterion   PIN  .0500


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   1..    X4        liver function test


Multiple R           .72621
R Square             .52737          R Square Change    .52737
Adjusted R Square    .51829          F Change         58.02377
Standard Error       .19002          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           1             2.09514          2.09514
Residual            52             1.87763           .03611

F =      58.02377       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4              .185755     .024386      .136821      .234689    .726206
(Constant)     1.696385     .071743     1.552422     1.840348


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .726206  .726206  .726206   1.000000      1.000     7.617  .0000
(Constant)                                                     23.645  .0000


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X1          -.024684 -.031044    .747578      1.338    .747578     -.222  .8254
X2           .376120  .508487    .863820      1.158    .863820     4.217  .0001
X3           .438805  .580307    .826591      1.210    .826591     5.089  .0000
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 43
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 2    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   2..    X3        enzyme function test


Multiple R           .82857
R Square             .68653          R Square Change    .15916
Adjusted R Square    .67424          F Change         25.89482
Standard Error       .15626          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           2             2.72744          1.36372
Residual            51             1.24533           .02442

F =      55.84864       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4              .139015     .022057      .094734      .183296    .543477
X3              .005653     .001111      .003423      .007883    .438805
(Constant)     1.388778     .084468     1.219201     1.558354


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .726206  .494113  .661698    .826591      1.210     6.303  .0000
X3          .665122  .398948  .580307    .826591      1.210     5.089  .0000
(Constant)                                                     16.441  .0000


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X1           .234903  .322758    .591788      1.690    .500370     2.411  .0196
X2           .487636  .791478    .825800      1.211    .682979     9.157  .0000
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 44
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           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 2    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   3..    X2        prognostic index


Multiple R           .93963
R Square             .88290          R Square Change    .19637
Adjusted R Square    .87587          F Change         83.84613
Standard Error       .09646          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           3             3.50756          1.16919
Residual            50              .46521           .00930

F =     125.66275       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4              .081846     .014979      .051761      .111931    .319976
X3              .007000  7.0128E-04      .005591      .008408    .543387
X2              .007899  8.6260E-04      .006166      .009631    .487636
(Constant)      .942263     .071390      .798873     1.085654


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .726206  .264436  .611463    .682979      1.464     5.464  .0000
X3          .665122  .483037  .815987    .790209      1.265     9.981  .0000
X2          .592889  .443132  .791478    .825800      1.211     9.157  .0000
(Constant)                                                     13.199  .0000


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X1           .401192  .874094    .555861      1.799    .391339    12.596  .0000
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 45
11:16:50  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 2    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   4..    X1        blood clotting score


Multiple R           .98609
R Square             .97237          R Square Change    .08947
Adjusted R Square    .97011          F Change        158.66249
Standard Error       .04733          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           4             3.86300           .96575
Residual            49              .10977           .00224

F =     431.09721       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4              .001925     .009710     -.017587      .021438    .007527
X3              .009475  3.9625E-04      .008678      .010271    .735505
X2              .009254  4.3673E-04      .008376      .010132    .571318
X1              .068520     .005440      .057589      .079452    .401192
(Constant)      .488756     .050233      .387809      .589703


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .726206  .004709  .028317    .391339      2.555      .198  .8436
X3          .665122  .567788  .959718    .595937      1.678    23.910  .0000
X2          .592889  .503170  .949528    .775666      1.289    21.189  .0000
X1          .346404  .299113  .874094    .555861      1.799    12.596  .0000
(Constant)                                                      9.730  .0000


End Block Number   1   All requested variables entered.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 46
11:16:50  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 2    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)


                       Summary table
                       -------------

Step   MultR     Rsq    F(Eqn)  SigF       Variable  BetaIn
   1   .7262   .5274    58.024  .000  In:  X4         .7262
   2   .8286   .6865    55.849  .000  In:  X3         .4388
   3   .9396   .8829   125.663  .000  In:  X2         .4876
   4   .9861   .9724   431.097  .000  In:  X1         .4012
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 47
11:16:50  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 3    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)

  Descriptive Statistics are printed on Page   32

Block Number  1.  Method:  Enter


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   1..    X4        liver function test
   2..    X2        prognostic index
   3..    X3        enzyme function test
   4..    X1        blood clotting score


Multiple R           .98609
R Square             .97237          R Square Change    .97237
Adjusted R Square    .97011          F Change        431.09721
Standard Error       .04733          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           4             3.86300           .96575
Residual            49              .10977           .00224

F =     431.09721       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4              .001925     .009710     -.017587      .021438    .007527
X2              .009254  4.3673E-04      .008376      .010132    .571318
X3              .009475  3.9625E-04      .008678      .010271    .735505
X1              .068520     .005440      .057589      .079452    .401192
(Constant)      .488756     .050233      .387809      .589703


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .726206  .004709  .028317    .391339      2.555      .198  .8436
X2          .592889  .503170  .949528    .775666      1.289    21.189  .0000
X3          .665122  .567788  .959718    .595937      1.678    23.910  .0000
X1          .346404  .299113  .874094    .555861      1.799    12.596  .0000
(Constant)                                                      9.730  .0000


End Block Number   1   All requested variables entered.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 48
11:16:50  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 3    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)

Block Number  2.  Method:  Backward     Criterion   POUT  .1000


Variable(s) Removed on Step Number
   5..    X4        liver function test


Multiple R           .98608
R Square             .97235          R Square Change   -.00002
Adjusted R Square    .97069          F Change           .03932
Standard Error       .04687          Signif F Change    .8436

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           3             3.86291          1.28764
Residual            50              .10986           .00220

F =     586.04313       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X2              .009295  3.8250E-04      .008526      .010063    .573813
X3              .009524  3.0641E-04      .008908      .010139    .739316
X1              .069225     .004078      .061034      .077416    .405319
(Constant)      .483621     .042629      .397999      .569243


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X2          .592889  .571448  .960172    .991774      1.008    24.299  .0000
X3          .665122  .730954  .975085    .977506      1.023    31.082  .0000
X1          .346404  .399215  .923116    .970108      1.031    16.975  .0000
(Constant)                                                     11.345  .0000


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X4           .007527  .028317    .391339      2.555    .391339      .198  .8436


End Block Number   2   POUT =     .100 Limits reached.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 49
11:16:50  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 3    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)


                       Summary table
                       -------------

Step   MultR     Rsq    F(Eqn)  SigF       Variable  BetaIn
   1                                  In:  X4         .7262
   2                                  In:  X2         .3761
   3                                  In:  X3         .5434
   4   .9861   .9724   431.097  .000  In:  X1         .4012
   5   .9861   .9723   586.043  .000 Out:  X4
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 50
11:16:50  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)

  Descriptive Statistics are printed on Page   32

Block Number  1.  Method:  Stepwise     Criteria   PIN  .0500   POUT  .1000


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   1..    X4        liver function test


Multiple R           .72621
R Square             .52737          R Square Change    .52737
Adjusted R Square    .51829          F Change         58.02377
Standard Error       .19002          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           1             2.09514          2.09514
Residual            52             1.87763           .03611

F =      58.02377       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4              .185755     .024386      .136821      .234689    .726206
(Constant)     1.696385     .071743     1.552422     1.840348


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .726206  .726206  .726206   1.000000      1.000     7.617  .0000
(Constant)                                                     23.645  .0000


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X1          -.024684 -.031044    .747578      1.338    .747578     -.222  .8254
X2           .376120  .508487    .863820      1.158    .863820     4.217  .0001
X3           .438805  .580307    .826591      1.210    .826591     5.089  .0000
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 51
11:16:50  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   2..    X3        enzyme function test


Multiple R           .82857
R Square             .68653          R Square Change    .15916
Adjusted R Square    .67424          F Change         25.89482
Standard Error       .15626          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           2             2.72744          1.36372
Residual            51             1.24533           .02442

F =      55.84864       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4              .139015     .022057      .094734      .183296    .543477
X3              .005653     .001111      .003423      .007883    .438805
(Constant)     1.388778     .084468     1.219201     1.558354


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .726206  .494113  .661698    .826591      1.210     6.303  .0000
X3          .665122  .398948  .580307    .826591      1.210     5.089  .0000
(Constant)                                                     16.441  .0000


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X1           .234903  .322758    .591788      1.690    .500370     2.411  .0196
X2           .487636  .791478    .825800      1.211    .682979     9.157  .0000
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 52
11:16:51  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   3..    X2        prognostic index


Multiple R           .93963
R Square             .88290          R Square Change    .19637
Adjusted R Square    .87587          F Change         83.84613
Standard Error       .09646          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           3             3.50756          1.16919
Residual            50              .46521           .00930

F =     125.66275       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4              .081846     .014979      .051761      .111931    .319976
X3              .007000  7.0128E-04      .005591      .008408    .543387
X2              .007899  8.6260E-04      .006166      .009631    .487636
(Constant)      .942263     .071390      .798873     1.085654


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .726206  .264436  .611463    .682979      1.464     5.464  .0000
X3          .665122  .483037  .815987    .790209      1.265     9.981  .0000
X2          .592889  .443132  .791478    .825800      1.211     9.157  .0000
(Constant)                                                     13.199  .0000


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X1           .401192  .874094    .555861      1.799    .391339    12.596  .0000
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 53
11:16:51  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   4..    X1        blood clotting score


Multiple R           .98609
R Square             .97237          R Square Change    .08947
Adjusted R Square    .97011          F Change        158.66249
Standard Error       .04733          Signif F Change    .0000

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           4             3.86300           .96575
Residual            49              .10977           .00224

F =     431.09721       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X4              .001925     .009710     -.017587      .021438    .007527
X3              .009475  3.9625E-04      .008678      .010271    .735505
X2              .009254  4.3673E-04      .008376      .010132    .571318
X1              .068520     .005440      .057589      .079452    .401192
(Constant)      .488756     .050233      .387809      .589703


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X4          .726206  .004709  .028317    .391339      2.555      .198  .8436
X3          .665122  .567788  .959718    .595937      1.678    23.910  .0000
X2          .592889  .503170  .949528    .775666      1.289    21.189  .0000
X1          .346404  .299113  .874094    .555861      1.799    12.596  .0000
(Constant)                                                      9.730  .0000
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 54
11:16:52  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)


Variable(s) Removed on Step Number
   5..    X4        liver function test


Multiple R           .98608
R Square             .97235          R Square Change   -.00002
Adjusted R Square    .97069          F Change           .03932
Standard Error       .04687          Signif F Change    .8436

Analysis of Variance
                    DF      Sum of Squares      Mean Square
Regression           3             3.86291          1.28764
Residual            50              .10986           .00220

F =     586.04313       Signif F =  .0000


---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable              B        SE B     95% Confdnce Intrvl B       Beta

X3              .009524  3.0641E-04      .008908      .010139    .739316
X2              .009295  3.8250E-04      .008526      .010063    .573813
X1              .069225     .004078      .061034      .077416    .405319
(Constant)      .483621     .042629      .397999      .569243


------------------------ Variables in the Equation -------------------------

Variable     Correl Part Cor  Partial  Tolerance        VIF         T  Sig T

X3          .665122  .730954  .975085    .977506      1.023    31.082  .0000
X2          .592889  .571448  .960172    .991774      1.008    24.299  .0000
X1          .346404  .399215  .923116    .970108      1.031    16.975  .0000
(Constant)                                                     11.345  .0000


------------------------ Variables not in the Equation ------------------------

Variable     Beta In  Partial  Tolerance        VIF  Min Toler         T  Sig T

X4           .007527  .028317    .391339      2.555    .391339      .198  .8436


End Block Number   1   PIN =     .050 Limits reached.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 55
11:16:52  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   LOGY   log(survival time)


                       Summary table
                       -------------

Step   MultR     Rsq    F(Eqn)  SigF       Variable  BetaIn
   1   .7262   .5274    58.024  .000  In:  X4         .7262
   2   .8286   .6865    55.849  .000  In:  X3         .4388
   3   .9396   .8829   125.663  .000  In:  X2         .4876
   4   .9861   .9724   431.097  .000  In:  X1         .4012
   5   .9861   .9723   586.043  .000 Out:  X4



           * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *


Residuals Statistics:

              Min      Max     Mean  Std Dev   N

*PRED      1.6042   2.8631   2.2061    .2700  54
*RESID     -.1020    .1383    .0000    .0455  54
*ZPRED    -2.2295   2.4334    .0000   1.0000  54
*ZRESID   -2.1761   2.9508    .0000    .9713  54

Total Cases =       54
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 56
11:16:55  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.



Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X1         Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +         .                           +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
    |                .                    |      Max N
  2 +            .     .                  +
    |              .                      |   .      1.0
    |                  .                  |   :      2.0
  1 +                             .       +   *      4.0
    |                  : .                |
    |             ..   : :.               |
  0 +           .   .::. .*  *.           +
    |               ::... :    .  .       |
    |          .                          |
 -1 +         ..                  .
    |        . .                          .
    |          .
 -2 +      .                              +
    |                   .                 |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out


Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X2         Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +                         .           +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
                   .                      |      Max N
  2 .                       .             +
                      .                   |   .      1.0
    |                              .      |   :      2.0
  1 +            .                        +   *      3.0
    |                     .   :           |
    |     .          :. . .    .          |
  0 +            ....* :..... ..          +
    |         ..   *.:  .   .  .          |
    |                       .             |
 -1 +                    .  .  .          +
    |     .            .    .             |
    |              .                      |
 -2 +                      .              +
    |                   .                 |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 57
11:16:55  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.



Standardized Scatterplot
Across - X3         Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +           .                         +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
    |                     .               |      Max N
  2 +             .                .      +
    |                  .                  |   .      1.0
    |                            .        |   :      2.0
  1 +   .                                 +   *      3.0
    |                    ...              |
    |               . .  ..  ...          |
  0 +        :.    .:.::...  ..           +
    |    .   .   .  . *. ..       .       |
    |                       .             |
 -1 +                   . ..              +
    |               .      . .            |
    |        .                            |
 -2 +                     .               +
    |                      .              |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out


Standardized Scatterplot
Across - *PRED      Down - *RESID
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
  3 +             .                       +   Symbols:
    |                                     |
    |                 .                   |      Max N
  2 +             .   .                   +
    |                .                    |   .      1.0
    |                                 .   |   :      2.0
  1 +       .                             +   *      3.0
    |                       .:            |
    |          .      .  .. .. .          |
  0 +           . : .: :*::  .            +
    |          ..: .:..       .   .       |
    |                     .               |
 -1 +                 .   .        .      +
    |            :                   .    |
    |     .                               |
 -2 +                 .                   +
    |                      .              |
    |                                     |
 -3 +                                     +
Out ++-----+-----+-----+-----+-----+-----++
    -3    -2    -1     0     1     2     3 Out
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 58
11:17:03  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


Preceding task required .05 seconds CPU time;  13.07 seconds elapsed.

-> regression var=x1,x2,x3,x4/statistics=r/
->   dep=x1/enter/
->   dep=x2/enter/
->   dep=x3/enter/
->   dep=x4/enter.

There are 522,368 bytes of memory available.
The largest contiguous area has 520,584 bytes.

     2016 bytes of memory required for REGRESSION procedure.
        0 more bytes may be needed for Residuals plots.


10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 59
11:17:35  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *


Listwise Deletion of Missing Data

Equation Number 1    Dependent Variable..   X1   blood clotting score

Block Number  1.  Method:  Enter


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   1..    X4        liver function test
   2..    X2        prognostic index
   3..    X3        enzyme function test


Multiple R           .66644
R Square             .44414
Adjusted R Square    .41079
Standard Error      1.23049

F =      13.31688       Signif F =  .0000


End Block Number   1   All requested variables entered.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 60
11:17:35  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 2    Dependent Variable..   X2   prognostic index

Block Number  1.  Method:  Enter


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   1..    X4        liver function test
   2..    X3        enzyme function test
   3..    X1        blood clotting score


Multiple R           .47364
R Square             .22433
Adjusted R Square    .17779
Standard Error     15.32647

F =       4.82026       Signif F =  .0050


End Block Number   1   All requested variables entered.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 61
11:17:35  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 3    Dependent Variable..   X3   enzyme function test

Block Number  1.  Method:  Enter


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   1..    X4        liver function test
   2..    X2        prognostic index
   3..    X1        blood clotting score


Multiple R           .63566
R Square             .40406
Adjusted R Square    .36831
Standard Error     16.89232

F =      11.30050       Signif F =  .0000


End Block Number   1   All requested variables entered.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 62
11:17:35  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


           * * * *   M U L T I P L E   R E G R E S S I O N   * * * *

Equation Number 4    Dependent Variable..   X4   liver function test

Block Number  1.  Method:  Enter


Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
   1..    X3        enzyme function test
   2..    X2        prognostic index
   3..    X1        blood clotting score


Multiple R           .78017
R Square             .60866
Adjusted R Square    .58518
Standard Error       .68938

F =      25.92216       Signif F =  .0000


End Block Number   1   All requested variables entered.
10 Dec 97 surgical unit p. 335 multiple regression                       Page 63
11:17:35  sigma.oac.ucla.edu             IBM RS/6000      IBM AIX 3.2.


Preceding task required .01 seconds CPU time;  .06 seconds elapsed.